Current Oscar Predictions

These reflect how I currently see the race going, after this week's kick-off to the award season with NBR, the Indie Spirit noms, and the Satellight noms.

Picture:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Director:
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
Clint Eastwood - Gran Turino
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Chris Nolan - The Dark Knight
Gus van Sant - Milk

Actor:
Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road
Clint Eastwood - Gran Turino
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler

Actress:
Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - The Reader

Supporting Actor:
Josh Brolin - Milk
James Franco - Milk
Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road

Supporting Actress:
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Rosemarie DeWitt - Rachel Getting Married
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Kate Winslet - The Reader

Adapted Screenplay:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Original Screenplay:
Gran Turino
Milk
Rachel Getting Married
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
WALL-E

Cinematography:
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Revolutionary Road

Film Editing:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Defiance
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire

Art Direction:
Australia
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Revolutionary Road

Costume:
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
The Other Boleyn Girl
Revolutionary Road

Make Up:
Hellboy 2: The Golden Army
The Reader
Synecdoche New York

Original Score:
Defiance
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Milk
Revolutionary Road
WALL-E

Sound Mixing:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Defiance
Iron Man
WALL-E

Sound Editing:
The Dark Knight
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Iron Man
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E

Visual Effects:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Iron Man

Animated Feature:
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E